It claimed focus fire is worth 6.3 points against two of them, 14.7% to 21%.
Measured independently at 4000 runs x 3 seeds: 14.2% to 20.4%, gain 6.2, which is
2.4x its own noise and 44% of the base. The claim was true and reproduces.
What failed is a threshold. MEASURABLE is [15,85] and the scan's estimate of a
boundary value moved 14.7 to 14.4. And the creature is a step -- 85.7% at one,
14.2% at two, 0.4% at three -- so no pack size gives an even fight and the band's
endpoints fall in the gap. The band records nothing about a creature whose
defining property is having no middle.
Not moving the band to 14: fitting a threshold to the datum it excludes is how a
guard stops being a test. But the band is a proxy for "can this fight move", and
the direct test -- does the gain clear its own noise -- is already in the
artifact and answers yes. Replacing the proxy is a decision about all 47, not a
fix, and not mine to take unasked.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
